VST — Evaluation History

Vistra Corp.
Deterministic Evaluations last 3 months
8 records
Date Strategy Price Decision Conf Tech Macro Sector Earn Regime Rationale
11 Mar 2026 minervini $164.40 SELL 68% 63 70 100 35 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $164.40 is 9.3% below 150 MA ($181.22); Price $164.40 is 9.6% below 200 MA ($181.96); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($163.44), 150 MA ($181.22), 200 MA ($181.96)
11 Mar 2026 momentum $164.40 HOLD 64% 59 70 100 35 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: 0.2768 vs Signal: 1.2018. RSI: 43.9. Holding — -0.36% (21d). Entry $165.00 | Current $164.40 | Peak $176.82 (+7.16%) | -7.0% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $165.41 | SMA50 $163.44 (+F1%) | SMA100 $171.48 | SMA200 $181.96. MACD 0.277 / Signal 1.202 / Hist -0.925. RSI 43.9. Volume 0.7× avg (4,148,000). No exit signal.
11 Mar 2026 SectorRotationLLM $0.00 BUY 83% 0 0 0 0 Neutral [Utilities] VST has broken out to fresh all-time highs after completing a multi-week base, with above-average volume confirming institutional participation and the RS line making new highs vs both XLU and SPY simultaneously. Catalyst: Long-term power purchase agreement negotiations with hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, Amazon) for dedicated nuclear and dispatchable power capacity are ongoing and any announcement could be a major re-rating event in Q2 2026.
10 Mar 2026 minervini $163.62 SELL 68% 63 70 100 35 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $163.62 is 9.9% below 150 MA ($181.55); Price $163.62 is 10.0% below 200 MA ($181.89); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($163.39), 150 MA ($181.55), 200 MA ($181.89)
10 Mar 2026 momentum $163.62 HOLD 64% 59 70 100 35 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: 0.4136 vs Signal: 1.4330. RSI: 40.6. Holding — -0.84% (20d). Entry $165.00 | Current $163.62 | Peak $176.82 (+7.16%) | -7.5% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $165.52 | SMA50 $163.39 (+F1%) | SMA100 $171.89 | SMA200 $181.89. MACD 0.414 / Signal 1.433 / Hist -1.019. RSI 40.6. Volume 0.7× avg (4,109,000). No exit signal.
09 Mar 2026 minervini $158.65 SELL 70% 65 70 100 35 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $158.65 is 12.8% below 150 MA ($181.85); Price $158.65 is 12.8% below 200 MA ($181.86); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($163.35), 150 MA ($181.85), 200 MA ($181.86)
09 Mar 2026 momentum $158.65 HOLD 65% 60 70 100 35 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: 0.6616 vs Signal: 1.6879. RSI: 37.3. Holding — -3.85% (19d). Entry $165.00 | Current $158.65 | Peak $176.82 (+7.16%) | -10.3% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $165.71 | SMA50 $163.35 (-+F1%) | SMA100 $172.35 | SMA200 $181.86. MACD 0.662 / Signal 1.688 / Hist -1.026. RSI 37.3. Volume 1.0× avg (5,616,400). No exit signal.
05 Mar 2026 minervini $163.36 SELL 67% 62 70 100 50 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $163.36 is 10.5% below 150 MA ($182.44); Price $163.36 is 10.1% below 200 MA ($181.80); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($163.32), 150 MA ($182.44), 200 MA ($181.80)
AI Evaluations last 3 months
1 records
Date Price Decision Conf Model Rationale
05 Mar 2026 $163.36 HOLD 58% claude-sonnet-4-6 VST is currently a HOLD given the position was just entered today at $161.70 with a defined stop at $148.76, and the stock has made a modest 1.03% gain. The technical structure shows early-stage base building at the 50-day SMA, but the intermediate trend remains bearish with price well below the 150 and 200-day SMAs — this is not yet a confirmed uptrend. The fundamental backdrop is constructive (AI/data center power demand, nuclear tailwinds), and the macro score of 70 provides some support, but the neutral market regime and sector underperformance argue against adding aggressively. The risk/reward from here is acceptable given the defined stop, but there is insufficient technical strength to add to the position or to rate it a strong buy — patience is warranted to see if VST can push through the 21 EMA at $166 and begin to close the gap toward the $182 moving average cluster, which would dramatically improve the setup quality and conviction.
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