Minervini Engine
About

SMCI — Evaluation History

Super Micro Computer Inc.
Deterministic Evaluations last 3 months
8 records
Date Strategy Price Decision Conf Tech Macro Sector Earn Regime Rationale
11 Mar 2026 minervini $31.79 SELL 55% 55 70 75 80 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $31.79 is 18.7% below 150 MA ($39.09); Price $31.79 is 22.9% below 200 MA ($41.25); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($31.12), 150 MA ($39.09), 200 MA ($41.25)
11 Mar 2026 momentum $31.79 HOLD 69% 69 70 75 80 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: 0.1195 vs Signal: 0.1263. RSI: 57.1. Holding — +2.55% (5d). Entry $31.00 | Current $31.79 | Peak $32.24 (+4%) | -1.4% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $31.72 | SMA50 $31.12 (+F1%) | SMA100 $35.27 | SMA200 $41.25. MACD 0.119 / Signal 0.126 / Hist -0.007. RSI 57.1. Volume 0.6× avg (19,233,100). No exit signal.
10 Mar 2026 minervini $31.98 SELL 55% 55 70 75 80 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $31.98 is 18.5% below 150 MA ($39.26); Price $31.98 is 22.6% below 200 MA ($41.30); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($31.09), 150 MA ($39.26), 200 MA ($41.30)
10 Mar 2026 momentum $31.98 HOLD 83% 76 70 75 80 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: 0.1318 vs Signal: 0.1280. RSI: 56.3. Holding — +3.16% (4d). Entry $31.00 | Current $31.98 | Peak $32.24 (+4%) | -0.8% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $31.72 | SMA50 $31.09 (+F1%) | SMA100 $35.49 | SMA200 $41.30. MACD 0.132 / Signal 0.128 / Hist 0.004. RSI 56.3. Volume 0.9× avg (27,705,300). No exit signal.
09 Mar 2026 minervini $31.31 SELL 55% 55 70 75 80 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $31.31 is 20.6% below 150 MA ($39.43); Price $31.31 is 24.3% below 200 MA ($41.36); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($31.07), 150 MA ($39.43), 200 MA ($41.36)
09 Mar 2026 momentum $31.31 HOLD 63% 63 70 75 80 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: 0.1263 vs Signal: 0.1270. RSI: 52.6. Holding — -0.82% (3d). Entry $31.57 | Current $31.31 | Peak $32.24 (+2.12%) | -2.9% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $31.69 | SMA50 $31.07 (+F1%) | SMA100 $35.71 | SMA200 $41.36. MACD 0.126 / Signal 0.127 / Hist -0.001. RSI 52.6. Volume 0.7× avg (21,094,600). No exit signal.
06 Mar 2026 minervini $32.24 SELL 55% 55 70 75 80 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $32.24 is 18.6% below 150 MA ($39.61); Price $32.24 is 22.2% below 200 MA ($41.43); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($31.06), 150 MA ($39.61), 200 MA ($41.43)
05 Mar 2026 minervini $32.65 SELL 56% 56 70 75 80 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $32.65 is 18.0% below 150 MA ($39.80); Price $32.65 is 21.3% below 200 MA ($41.50); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($31.04), 150 MA ($39.80), 200 MA ($41.50)
AI Evaluations last 3 months
1 records
Date Price Decision Conf Model Rationale
05 Mar 2026 $32.65 HOLD 58% claude-sonnet-4-6 SMCI is held at $31.57 with a current unrealized gain of ~3.4%, and the position is sitting just above its entry with a constructive short-term technical setup following today's 6.4% pop above the 50-day SMA. The key positive is the meaningful EPS growth reversal in the most recent quarter (+14.4% YoY), which, after three quarters of severe deterioration, suggests the fundamental trough may be in place. However, the long-term technical structure remains broken — price is nearly 50% off the 52-week high, both the 150-day and 200-day SMAs are declining and well overhead, and RS vs. the market is deeply negative. Given the existing position with a defined stop at $29.04, the correct action is to HOLD and allow the trade to either build toward the next resistance cluster near the 21-day EMA and beyond, or to be stopped out cleanly if the breakout reverses. Initiating new capital here is premature given the weight of overhead resistance, absent revenue growth data, and persistent governance risks; the position should be managed tightly with the stop loss intact.
An error has occurred. This application may no longer respond until reloaded. Reload 🗙