MSFT — Evaluation History

Microsoft Corporation
Deterministic Evaluations last 3 months
7 records
Date Strategy Price Decision Conf Tech Macro Sector Earn Regime Rationale
11 Mar 2026 minervini $405.76 SELL 60% 60 70 75 90 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $405.76 is 15.8% below 150 MA ($482.03); Price $405.76 is 16.2% below 200 MA ($484.08); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($434.56), 150 MA ($482.03), 200 MA ($484.08)
11 Mar 2026 momentum $405.76 HOLD 75% 75 70 75 90 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: -6.8010 vs Signal: -10.6690. RSI: 54.7. Holding — -5.62% (5d). Entry $429.94 | Current $405.76 | Peak $410.68 (-+4.48%) | -1.2% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $408.14 | SMA50 $434.56 (-+F1%) | SMA100 $466.63 | SMA200 $484.08. MACD -6.801 / Signal -10.669 / Hist 3.868. RSI 54.7. Volume 0.9× avg (31,655,300). No exit signal.
10 Mar 2026 minervini $409.41 SELL 60% 60 70 75 90 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $409.41 is 15.2% below 150 MA ($482.89); Price $409.41 is 15.5% below 200 MA ($484.31); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($436.20), 150 MA ($482.89), 200 MA ($484.31)
10 Mar 2026 momentum $409.41 HOLD 81% 81 70 75 90 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: -7.4536 vs Signal: -11.6360. RSI: 59.8. Holding — -4.78% (4d). Entry $429.94 | Current $409.41 | Peak $410.68 (-+4.48%) | -0.3% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $408.38 | SMA50 $436.20 (-+F1%) | SMA100 $467.71 | SMA200 $484.31. MACD -7.454 / Signal -11.636 / Hist 4.182. RSI 59.8. Volume 0.9× avg (30,131,900). No exit signal.
09 Mar 2026 minervini $408.96 SELL 60% 60 70 75 90 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $408.96 is 15.4% below 150 MA ($483.66); Price $408.96 is 15.6% below 200 MA ($484.56); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($437.75), 150 MA ($483.66), 200 MA ($484.56)
09 Mar 2026 momentum $408.96 HOLD 80% 80 70 75 90 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. MACD: -8.5497 vs Signal: -12.6816. RSI: 55.6. Holding — +1.27% (3d). Entry $403.84 | Current $408.96 | Peak $410.68 (+1.69%) | -0.4% from peak. MAs: EMA21 $408.27 | SMA50 $437.75 (-+F1%) | SMA100 $468.75 | SMA200 $484.56. MACD -8.550 / Signal -12.682 / Hist 4.132. RSI 55.6. Volume 0.9× avg (31,085,000). No exit signal.
05 Mar 2026 minervini $405.20 SELL 61% 61 70 75 90 Neutral Market regime: Neutral. Technical breakdown detected. Concerns: Price $405.20 is 16.5% below 150 MA ($485.17); Price $405.20 is 16.5% below 200 MA ($485.02); Poor MA alignment: 50 MA ($440.78), 150 MA ($485.17), 200 MA ($485.02)
AI Evaluations last 3 months
1 records
Date Price Decision Conf Model Rationale
05 Mar 2026 $405.20 HOLD 42% claude-sonnet-4-6 MSFT was entered at $403.84 on March 5, 2026, and currently shows a minimal 0.34% unrealized gain — too early and too small to take profits, but not yet stopped out. The technical structure is broadly bearish with price below all major moving averages and a declining 200-day SMA, making this a below-average quality swing trade setup. However, the recent EPS acceleration to 59.75% YoY is a genuine fundamental positive that provides a floor of support and could become a catalyst for re-rating once the broader market stabilises. Holding is justified given the valid stop-loss at $371.53 limits downside risk to approximately 8.3% from entry, while upside potential toward the 50-day SMA ($440) would yield roughly 9% — a marginally positive risk/reward. Until the price reclaims the 50-day SMA or shows a clear reversal with strong volume, adding to the position is not warranted, and the stance remains a cautious HOLD with close monitoring of the stop-loss level.
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